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The UCP Government of Alberta is
pursuing three strategic intentions. The first is to balance the Provincial budget,
by which they mean only spend the “revenues” they secure through taxation,
royalties and other means. The second, linked to the first, is to better align
government spending by Department with the spending levels seen for those
services in other Provinces, no matter that Alberta’s economy is different and
that GDP per capita and taxation levels are different. The third is, as rapidly
as possible, privatize significant sections of the currently public services
offered to citizens.
In pursuing these strategic intentions, the government is happy
not to engage in any meaningful consultations and dialogue with those who may be
impacted by these strategies or with those who have policy alternatives. They
are also unwilling (some may say incapable) of looking at an evidence-base
which shows that these strategies are either likely to fail or based on a poor
(yet deliberate) misunderstanding of the situation Alberta faces. Finally, they
expect sections of the public service to engage in industrial action – work to rule
or strike – in response to their actions. Indeed, they are hoping for a full-on
confrontation since this will accelerate their move to privatization and, in
their view, garner support for union busting.
These three strategies come directly from the neo-liberal
new public service playbook and are proven failures all over the world.
Balancing the Budget
So as to balance the budget any sensible government would do
two things: (a) maximize revenues; and (b) control spending. This government
dramatically reduced revenues through tax breaks and the removal of the carbon
tax and is not considering increasing revenues through either a sales tax or
increased royalties from natural resources licenses. The government is pursuing
“trickle down” economics – something even the IMF accepts does not work. When
we look at revenues, Alberta has by far the lowest government revenues of any
jurisdiction in Canada at just 13.6% of GDP (BC is at 18.9%, Ontario at 17.6%).
Alberta’s net debt is currently $43.7 billion – an increase
of $7.09 billion over the previous year. Our net debt to GDP ratio is projected
to be 11.8% - by far the lowest in Canada by any calculation. Our net debt per
capita is also low at $8,379. As a comparator, Ontario’s net debt to GDP ratio is
40.1% and net debt per capita is $24,282. We do not really have a debt problem
when these numbers are compared either to other jurisdictions in Canada or to
competitor jurisdictions around the world.
The idea that we have to balance budgets is a ploy and a manufactured problem. We do need to manage spending and be efficient, but we also have to respond and meet social needs. Corporate largesse and tax breaks for the rich and already wealthy will not lead to job creation as employment numbers clearly suggest. What is needed is a revenue increase through a sales tax, an increase in oil and gas royalties and higher corporate taxes.
Aligning Spending with That Seen in Other Provinces
It is true that our spending on government
programs looks to be higher than other Provinces (except Newfoundland and
Labrador) at $12,915 per capita (BC spends $10,947) but then our wages for all
employees in Alberta are higher. The real number to look at is progam expenditure as a percentage of GDP and here we spend less than any other Province
(15.7%).
Spending needs to be reduced on non-core
functions (war rooms, overseas travel to “attract investors”, task forces and
advisory panels, Ministry of Red Tape Reduction for a government which is significantly increasing the red tape in health and education) with more money going to services which Albertan’s value –
health care, senior care, care for those with disabilities, education and
infrastructure. Alberta’s population is still growing and investments in
people, support for those in need and the payment of a decent wage do more to
stimulate and grow an economy than tax breaks for the already wealthy.
Privatization
So as to reduce economic risk and ensure the effective
management of public expenditure, Alberta needs to halt all talk of privatization
in health, education and social services. Study after study shows that privatization
both increases costs, reduces efficiency and increases social risk. Further,
laying off public service personnel in favour of private providers who will
walk away if profits fall poses a real economic threat and risk to service quality.
Sweden rapidly privatized parts of its K-12 system in the name oif school
choice. Not only did quality fall (as measured by PISA and Sweden’s own testing
system), the private players “gamed” the system by manipulating and inflating
the performance of their schools. When profits fell, the private players walked
away, leaving the Government to pick up the pieces. Similar things have
happened in the US and the UK. In healthcare, privatization leads to loss of
cost control, increased wait times in the public system and poorer systemwide outcomes.
A Government of the Few for the Few
In short, the Alberta government is intent on pursuing strategic
intentions which have been shown as failures elsewhere in the world all on the
basis of a misunderstanding of the challenges Alberta faces. To make matters worse, the Government of Alberta
is systematically disengaging from public debate or real engagement with those
who disagree with their steamroller approach to public policy, as all who have tried
to have authentic policy conservations with Ministers and MLA’s will attest. We
don’t actually have “government by the people for the people”, we have a
government of selected interest steered by the few for the few.
2 comments:
Great analysis!
Governance by dinosaurs.
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