Ninety one days from now the United States government is
likely to demonstrate yet again its incompetence. The Jihadist section of the
Republican Party will once again refuse to face the reality of the way the
world works and demand that the US Government relentlessly pursue an austerity
policy that would make the IMF and Angela Merkel blush in its audacity.
Ted Cruz, the Tea Party senator from Texas, is already
signaling that Obama-care and social security spending together with other entitlements
must be cut dramatically and no new spending permitted. He is joined by other
tea party Jihadists – the new terrorists within Government who want hostage
taking and bomb threats (blowing up the US economy should be seen for what it
is – a threat to peace and stability and a weapon of mass economic destruction)
who call for a massive scale back of equity based entitlements and health care
supports. They also want tax cuts for the wealthy and corporations.
Their core argument is that the deficit – at around $17
trillion – is too high. They don’t accept the argument that it is all relative
and that the real challenge is to get economic growth back to 3.5 – 5% in the
US so that the ratio of debt to GDP becomes sustainable.
Nor do they accept the growing view that their own actions
have wiped some 3% off the GDP of the US. That is, republicans who pursue this
Jihadist stance are bad for the economy, for communities and for the standing
of the US in the world.
Their current claim is that the President would not negotiate.
Quite right. It is a long standing policy of western governments not to
negotiate with terrorists, especially when hostages are involved and a weapon
of mass [economic] destruction is about to be deployed. In some countries, the
tea-party would be declared a terrorist organization and be banned.
It is very unlikely that a deal will be in place along the
time-lines Congress agreed to yesterday. Both the Senate and the House passed
budgets for 2014 in April but have not met in conference at all since then.
Paul Ryan, failed Vice Presidential candidate and Chair of the House Budget
committee, thinks that the gap between the two budgets is so wide as not to be
worth discussing. Who is not negotiating now?
We can expect to see rating agencies downgrade the US,
interest rates rise and more threats about the debt ceiling and a shut-down in
the new year as well as new “cause
célèbre” emerging between now and the deadlines established in the “kick
the can down the road” deal struck yesterday. Three separate attempts to secure
long term financial deals in Congress based on “blue ribbon” panels have
failed. What hope is there now?
To make matters worse. The Jihadists have given up using
evidence and reason as the core of civil debate and reject compromise as a
normal behaviour in politics. They confront, challenge, cheat and demean – that
is their stock in trade. When faced with compelling evidence – for example,
that Government spending is falling faster under Obama than under any
Republican since the way – they simply deny evidence and it deepens their
conviction to their version of “truth”. They are born again by evidence that
shows them to be dead wrong.
So sit back and watch incompetence, poor leadership and the
gradual decline of the United States. It will be the horror movie of 2014.
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