Wednesday, October 15, 2008

So Much for the IPCC!

The following statements are all true:

1. The Juneau ice fields in Alaska are getting thicker following the worst year on record for cold weather since 1946 – see http://www.adn.com/news/environment/story/555283.html

2. El Nino and La Nina effects in the tropics have a more significant affect on global temperature anomalies than carbon dioxide, in particular it was an El Nino event that drove the 1998 global temperature maximum.

3. Variations in global temperatures since 1978 have mostly been due to climate effects in the northern hemisphere (northern extratropics) and these effects cannot be attributed to carbon dioxide.

4. Carbon dioxide has contributed a small amount to an increase in global temperatures but without what is commonly referred to as feed-back. See . http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/10/new-detailed-analysis-of-global-temperature-data-does-not-support-significant-role-for-carbon-dioxide/ for all of the last three points.

5. The last time the sun was as quiet as it is now was 400 years ago, and that signaled the onset of a period of global cooling, the coldest point of which is known as the Maunder Minimum. At that time, New York harbor froze to such a degree that people could walk from Manhattan island over to the island on which the Statue of Liberty stands today. In London, the Thames froze, and ice fairs were held on the river. There has been no global warming since 1998. In fact, there has been a slight cooling. See http://www.engineeringnews.co.za/page.php?rep_id=175

6. The global warming cycle from 1977 to 1998 is now over and we have entered into a new global cooling period that should last for the next three decades. He also suggests that since the IPCC climate models are now so far off from what is actually happening that their projections for both this decade and century must be considered highly unreliable. See http://icecap.us/images/uploads/GSA.pdf

7. The latest scientific observations show that Arctic ice has actually increased by nearly a half million square miles over this time last year.

Time to look again at the “green shift” ? I think so.

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