So it is the democratic party convention. Obama and Biden will be crowned. Hillary and Bill will have their moment. It will be a decent week for Obama.
But it is not looking good. Clinton supporters are still unhappy and still show dissent and the campaign is beginning to dull the senses. While McCain is not doing well - how many houses? - he is doing better than Obama.
So I suspect that Obama is going to come second in this race, He will do so because, as McCain says, he's a mile high and an inch deep. He is inspiring and imaginative.But not solid enough to stay the course. Close, but silver medals don't count.